The Winning NBASZN2 6-Leg PrizePicks Parlay

The ultimate guide to hit your PrizePicks parlays for the NBA's final stretch

PrizePicks recently added a new category to their platform for users to bet on. The category is called “NBASZN2” where you can place prop bets on the last stretch of the NBA season. I’ve done plenty of research, I’ve crunched the numbers, and I’ve determined the perfect way for you not to lose money!

Don’t bet.

Now that we got that silly and no fun advice out of the way, let me share my research. I have attached my research here for those who want a deep analysis of every prop bet here:

PrizePicks Guide.xlsx - Sheet1 (1).pdf

Download PDF • 35KB

But for those just interested in my picks, here is the perfect 6-leg parlay for this category:

1. Luka Doncic Over 0.5 Games of 30 points or more:

This is a free square and requires no explanation for why I chose it.

2. Pascal Siakam Over 2.5 games of 10 or more rebounds

Siakam has hit 10 or more rebounds in 13 of his 49 games this year, good for 26.5%. 3 out of 23 games is just 13.0% of the rest of the season showing a big discrepancy in what Siakam has done this season and what he is projected to do for the rest of the year. The Raptors traded for Jakob Poeltl, a good rebounding Center, but Toronto has played with Centers in their lineups thus far and it has not affected Siakam that much. A lot of Siakam’s lines are discounted, but I like this one the most.

3. Draymond Green Over 6.5 games of 10 or more points

Green is not a dynamic scorer, but the vet can score enough to hit this line with ease. Green has scored at least 10 points in 19 of 52 games this season, good for 36.5%, while 7 out of his remaining 24 games would be 29.2%. From a statistical standpoint, we see the discount. But Stephen Curry is still out and will continue to miss time after the All-Star break; that gives Draymond some more opportunities as well. We’re not asking Draymond to be the lead scorer. We just need him to score 10 points in less than a third of the games forr the rest of the year.

4. Shai Gilgeous Alexander Over 14.5 games of 30 or more points

This one isn’t as much of a statistical discount as we’ve seen on my other picks. SGA has scored 30 or more in 33 out of 53 games, good for 62.3%. If he gets 15 games, that number is 60%... Not a big difference, but it is something. While this is at a discount, this is more of a gut pick - Sometimes you just have to ride with star players. SGA is the main scoring threat for the Thunder, so look for him to score the ball and help the Thunder vie for a play-in spot.

5. Donovan Mitchell Over 6.5 games of 30 or more points

I think there is a heavy discount on this one because of a 9 game stretch where Mitchell did not score 30, but I those days are long past. Following that stretch, he scored 30 or more in 3 of the next 4 games, and scored 29 in the other. Mitchell has scored 30 or more in 42% of his games this year. Scoring 30 in 7 of the remaining 21 games would be 33.3%. Look for Mitchell to regain his scoring presence and hit this mark with ease.

6. Brandon Ingram Over 4.5 games of 30 or more points

The numbers from my research don’t support this one, but I like this one a lot. Ingram got off to a slow start coming off his injury, but hit the 30 point mark in 3 of his last 5 games before the All-Star Break. With Zion Williamson still out, the Pelicans will need a lot of scoring from their number one option.

Thought About, but Just Couldn’t...

Feel free to try these at your own risk, but here are 4 that I was (and still am) tempted to take, but really could go either way.

P.J. Tucker Over 0.5 games of 10 or more points

Before I lose all of my credibility for suggesting you take P.J. Tucker’s over, let me throw out my main point…it’s one game! We need one game for P.J. Tucker to get lucky. While he has only done so 3 times this year, 2 of them have come in the last 6 games. So is Tucker on newfound a scoring tear? Who knows! But we just need one game, and he seems to be trending up.

Ben Simmons Under 2.5 games of 10 or more points

My first under and I think there’s good reasons for this. Ben Simmons still doesn’t shoot the ball and his minutes are heavily decreasing. It’s frustrating to watch Simmons because it’s not that he can’t score, it’s just that he doesn’t want to or is scared to. I know he can turn it on at any moment and get 10 if he wanted to and that’s my worry. I would take the under, but I’ve been wrong about Simmons lines far too often.

Nikola Jokic Under 19.5 games with a Double Double

This is not me saying that I don’t think Jokic will get double doubles in most of his games. I do think this line is appropriate for the most part. But Denver has a 5 game lead on the 2 seed and an 8 game lead on the 3 seed. My logic for the under is that Denver may rest their stars towards the end of the season, leaving Jokic with fewer opportunities to hit the over.

Damian Lillard Under 17.5 games with 30 or more points

The stats show that the under is an easy decision here, but 2 things come to mind. Anfernee Simons is injured and does not have a timeline at the moment. But my main issue comes down to the fact that it can be hard to bet against someone as good as Dame. Dame has been on a scoring tear recently and I’d hate to be on the other end of a terrific second half of the season. I still think his line is too high, but I just don’t know if I have the guts to take the under on him.